Daily Scan — 2026-10-07 (US Mega-Tech, Post-Close) — Second Wakeup

Date: 2026-10-07 Written: second wakeup of 2026-10-07, after the 16:00 EDT equity close (all five equity quotes return market_state: POST); VIX still printing intraday at call time (market_state: REGULAR) Scope: US mega-tech basket (AAPL, AMD, MSFT, NVDA, TSLA) + regime check Relation to first scan: the morning file output/quant/daily_scan_2026-10-07.md (21,494 bytes, intraday snapshot at 06:49 CDT) is a finished scan and was left untouched per the no-overwrite rule. This file is the second wakeup's own scan, with settled 10-07 closes.

All six calls made this wakeup via stock_price(action='quote'). All returned successfully (no error text to report).

Arithmetic check (each row: (price − prior_close) / prior_close, round-half-up, 2dp):

• ●NVDA: ($237.47 − $239.24) / $239.24 = −$1.77 / $239.24 = −0.74%
• ●AMD: ($645.86 − $649.42) / $649.42 = −$3.56 / $649.42 = −0.55%
• ●TSLA: ($377.81 − $380.68) / $380.68 = −$2.87 / $380.68 = −0.75%
• ●AAPL: ($336.67 − $333.63) / $333.63 = +$3.04 / $333.63 = +0.91%
• ●MSFT: ($529.76 − $529.30) / $529.30 = +$0.46 / $529.30 = +0.09%
• ●VIX: (15.02 − 15.01) / 15.01 = +0.01 / 15.01 = +0.07%

Market state, copied verbatim from the market_state field of each quote: POST for all five equities (source: derived from currentTradingPeriod, per each quote's market_state_source); REGULAR for ^VIX. The five equity figures are settled 10-07 session closes; the VIX figure is a live intraday snapshot against this session's open bar — its session high was 16.01 and session low 15.00 (from the same quote's day_high/day_low, 10-07 bar) [T1: Verified].

All figures below come from stock_price(action='extremes', symbol=<SYM>, period='1mo'), which returned for all five tickers this wakeup. Window: 2026-09-08..2026-10-07, 22 daily bars each; basis: "deterministic min/max computed in skill code over 22 1d bars".

Volume-baseline basis per ticker: "arithmetic mean of 22 daily volume bars over 2026-09-08..2026-10-07" (volume_baseline_basis, verbatim). The ratio column is recomputed here from the two volumes in each extremes return (latest_volume / avg_volume, round-half-up, 2dp):

• ●NVDA: 77,579,926 / 107,746,364 = 0.72
• ●AMD: 17,929,829 / 22,285,946 = 0.80
• ●TSLA: 24,926,973 / 36,013,012 = 0.69
• ●AAPL: 31,250,163 / 40,964,107 = 0.76
• ●MSFT: 14,737,396 / 21,338,490 = 0.69

Pullback from period high (close vs period high, subtraction shown):

• ●NVDA: ($243.37 − $237.47) / $243.37 = $5.90 / $243.37 = 2.42% below the period high
• ●AMD: ($658.52 − $645.86) / $658.52 = $12.66 / $658.52 = 1.92% below the period high
• ●TSLA: ($386.83 − $377.81) / $386.83 = $9.02 / $386.83 = 2.33% below the period high
• ●AAPL: ($345.34 − $336.67) / $345.34 = $8.67 / $345.34 = 2.51% below the period high
• ●MSFT: ($535.69 − $529.76) / $535.69 = $5.93 / $535.69 = 1.11% below the period high

Structure notes, all arithmetically true against the table above:

• ●NVDA, AMD, TSLA each closed today below the prior day close that was also the window's highest close ($237.47 vs $239.24, $645.86 vs $649.42, $377.81 vs $380.68) — i.e., their 10-06 closes still stand as the window's highest closes. All with below-average volume (0.72x, 0.80x, 0.69x).
• ●MSFT is the exception: its 10-07 close $529.76 is a new window-highest close (extremes highest_close date 2026-10-07), but on 0.69x average volume, and it remains below the 10-06 intraday high $535.69.
• ●AAPL closed below its window-highest close ($336.67 vs $341.07 on 09-25) and below the period high $345.34 (09-22).
• ●Every equity's latest volume is below its 1mo average (0.69–0.80x) — the whole basket pulled back on thinner participation.

Regime — VIX

VIX prints 15.02 live [T1: Verified], session range 15.00–16.01 [T1: Verified] — i.e., it probed as high as 16.01 intraday (a level above today's close 15.02) and was last flat (+0.07%) versus 15.01, still inside the session. Note: the VIX bar is not settled at call time (market_state: REGULAR), so "15.02" is a live snapshot, not a close.

The morning scan carried an internal desk threshold of "risk_off band: VIX > 14.5" [T3: inherited from the first 2026-10-07 scan, sourced to the quant desk config there, not re-sourced this wakeup]. At 15.02 (and with the session high 16.01), that reading holds: regime band risk_off, while four of five mega-tickers were green in the morning session and MSFT closed at a period-highest close. The equity-strength / VIX-premium divergence remains the day's standing anomaly.

Debate: debate_1791403438 (output/debates/debate_1791403438.md, digest; output/debates/debate_1791403438.json, verbatim transcript; archive timestamp 2026-10-07T13:05:32-0700).

• ●Topic: post-close picture (as fed to the debate): NVDA closed −0.74% at $237.47 below the prior 1mo-high close $239.24; AMD closed −0.55% at $645.86 below its prior close $649.42; TSLA closed −0.75% at $377.81 below its prior close $380.68; AAPL +0.91% at $336.67, still below the 1mo-high close $341.07; MSFT +0.09% at $529.76, a new 1mo-highest close; VIX 15.02 live; basket volume 0.69–0.80x. Proposals: (1) SHORT AMD on failure to hold $650, (2) BUY NVDA pullback near $235, (3) HOLD MSFT momentum.
• ●Participants: bull_researcher, bear_researcher, trader, risk_manager (4) — single backbone: all 4 reports from ollama/kimi-k2.6:cloud (structural κ_E = 1; the debate file itself carries the single-root warning). The 0.845 ratio is one model's four drafts, not four independent observations.
• ●Verdict: CONSENSUS (oppose) — support 1, oppose 3; consensus_ratio 0.845 (threshold 0.60, early stop after round 1 of 2).

Positions (from the persisted digest):

• ●bear_researcher (oppose, conf 0.95): No new longs in NVDA or MSFT. Failed-breakout-with-volume-contraction thesis; invalidation prerequisites: NVDA close above $239.24 for 2 consecutive sessions with volume >1.0x average; AMD close below $640 for 1 session to confirm distribution; MSFT close above $535 for 2 sessions with volume >1.0x. Fallback it offered: SHORT AMD above $645, stop $650, target $620 (risk $5, reward $25 → 1:5.0 shown by subtraction).
• ●bull_researcher (support, conf 0.5 — its vote was recorded as keyword_fallback, not self-declared): VETOED the AMD short on the ground that a −0.55% drift on 0.80x volume is weak profit-taking, not distribution; APPROVED buying NVDA near $235 (it priced the entry $2.47 below the close: $237.47 − $235.00 = $2.47 [T1 arithmetic on a debate-internal level]); VETOED MSFT momentum.
• ●trader (oppose): STOP on all three. Prerequisites the debate set, re-checked against this wakeup's verified numbers below in Phase 3.
• ●risk_manager (oppose, conf 0.82): unconditional veto on any SHORT AMD or BUY NVDA; every future trade must carry (a) exact entry, (b) hard stop shown as a multiple of 5-day ATR, (c) size in shares and % of a $30,000 portfolio, (d) target with R:R ≥ 1:1.5 computed by subtraction. Fallback: an existing MSFT long may be held, cash otherwise at zero risk.

Verified this wakeup [T1], and checkable against the debate's prerequisites:

1. ●Volume claims in the topic (0.69–0.80x): confirmed — recomputed above from the extremes payloads [T1: Verified]. The trader's prerequisite (e) is met.
2. ●VIX 15.02: confirmed by the quote [T1: Verified]. Prerequisite (f) is met.
3. ●AMD must have "reached and failed $650 with verified day high >$650 before any short entry" — not met: AMD's 10-07 day high was $648.48 (quote day_high, 10-07 bar) [T1: Verified], which is below $650 by $1.52. The session never got high enough to fail a test of $650.
4. ●NVDA must show 2 consecutive closes above $235.15 — met on arithmetic: 10-06 close $239.24 and 10-07 close $237.47 are both above $235.15 [T1: Verified for both closes]. But today's close is also below the $239.24 threshold bear_researcher set to invalidate its failed-breakout thesis, and below the $239.24 prior close — the trend the bear describes is intact.
5. ●AMD close below $640 (distribution confirmation): not met — 10-07 close $645.86 exceeds $640 by $5.86 [T1: Verified].
6. ●MSFT close above $535: not met — 10-07 close $529.76 is below $535 by $5.24 [T1: Verified]. Also 10-07 day high $531.73 stayed below both $535 and $535.69 (the 10-06 period high) [T1: Verified].
7. ●NVDA close above $239.24 for even one session: not met today — $237.47 vs $239.24, short by $1.77 [T1: Verified].

Debate-internal figures, NOT re-verified by a tool this wakeup [T3: Model estimate — from debate transcript]: NVDA 5-day ATR $4.05 (risk_manager's citation); AMD 10-06 volume 24.2M (risk_manager's); NVDA $235.15 / $235 "gamma cluster" and "$50B buyback floor" (trader's / bull's); AMD "$635–$640 consolidation base" (bull's); MSFT "$532.35 ceiling" (bull's — note it does not match the verified 10-06 day high $531.73 or the $535 the bear used; the two agents used different reference levels); the historical analogs (2021 NVDA failed breakout → ~−30% over 4 weeks; 2020 TSLA → ~−15%) — directionally consistent with the bear's pattern argument but the percentages are unverified recollection, and no web source was pulled this wakeup to confirm them.

Evidence-root caveat: with all four ballots from one backbone, this debate's function was to test internal consistency and produce the risk_manager's specification standard; it did not and cannot provide independent confirmation of anything.

No trade proposal goes out today. The debate's consensus verdict is oppose (0.845), the risk_manager's veto is unconditional, and none of the proposals met its specification standard (entry / stop-as-ATR-multiple / size in shares and % / target with R:R ≥ 1:1.5). The only surviving action is the risk_manager's fallback: an existing MSFT long may be held unchanged (no new risk), cash otherwise untouched.

For the record, the trader's execution-window rule from the debate (REGULAR session only, 06:30–12:30 PDT) would have barred anything anyway: this scan is written after the close (market_state: POST).

VETO — no new positions. Standing checklist from the risk_manager, which tomorrow's proposals must satisfy before a veto can be lifted:

1. ●Exact entry price in dollars.
2. ●Hard stop-loss, with its distance from entry expressed as a multiple of 5-day ATR. (Note: no ATR figure was verified this wakeup; the $4.05 figure in the debate is [T3]. Any future stop must carry a fresh stock_price-verified ATR.)
3. ●Position size in shares and as % of the $30,000 portfolio.
4. ●Target with R:R ≥ 1:1.5, computed and printed by subtraction, e.g. (entry − stop) and (target − entry) shown.

Condition-specific state as of the 10-07 close [T1: Verified]:

• ●SHORT AMD: blocked earlier than the specs — the day high $648.48 never reached $650, so the trigger the trader demanded does not exist yet; AMD sits $12.66 below the 10-06 period high $658.52, which is where the bear's own stop level would have to clear.
• ●BUY NVDA: the 2-closes-above-$235.15 arithmetic condition is met, but the thesis conflict is unresolved: the close $237.47 sits below the $239.24 prior close and below the $239.24 1mo-highest close, on 0.72x volume — exactly the contraction the bear calls distribution and the bull calls consolidation. With one backbone behind both, the debate does not resolve it; the risk_manager does not trade on it.
• ●HOLD MSFT: the only action carried. It is a hold, not an entry: the close $529.76 is a window-highest close on 0.69x volume, $5.93 below the intraday period high $535.69.
• ●VIX: 15.02 live (session high 16.01). If the desk's risk_off band (VIX > 14.5, inherited threshold [T3]) is respected, no long theses are in-season; a 2-consecutive-session VIX close below 14.00 was the morning debate's gate and remains an unmet precondition today.

Five-for-six red flags resolved this way: the basket pulled back on below-average volume (0.69–0.80x) with three of the four window-highest closes set yesterday now dented, MSFT posting the only new period-highest close — and doing it on the thinnest relative volume in the basket (0.69x) — while VIX probed 16.01 intraday before flattening at 15.02. That is a distribution-vs-pullback dispute the four ballots (one backbone) could not settle and the risk manager therefore does not trade. No trade proposal today; MSFT hold carries; every future proposal must arrive with the four-part spec or it dies on arrival.

⚠️ Disclaimer: This report is generated by an AI simulation for informational purposes only. It is NOT financial advice. Past simulations do not predict future results. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

日期： 2026-10-07 写作时点： 当日第二个唤醒，美股 16:00 EDT 已收盘（五只个股报价均为 market_state: POST）；VIX 报价时仍在盘中（market_state: REGULAR） 范围： 美股大型科技股篮子（AAPL、AMD、MSFT、NVDA、TSLA）+ 大势环境核查 与首份扫描的关系： 早间文件 output/quant/daily_scan_2026-10-07.md（21,494 字节，06:49 CDT 盘中快照）为已完成扫描，按不覆盖规则原样保留。本文件是第二个唤醒自己的扫描，价格已是 10-07 已结算收盘价。

以上六次 stock_price(action='quote') 调用全部成功，无错误文本。

算式核验（每行：(现价 − 前收) / 前收，四舍五入保留两位）：

• ●NVDA: ($237.47 − $239.24) / $239.24 = −$1.77 / $239.24 = −0.74%
• ●AMD: ($645.86 − $649.42) / $649.42 = −$3.56 / $649.42 = −0.55%
• ●TSLA: ($377.81 − $380.68) / $380.68 = −$2.87 / $380.68 = −0.75%
• ●AAPL: ($336.67 − $333.63) / $333.63 = +$3.04 / $333.63 = +0.91%
• ●MSFT: ($529.76 − $529.30) / $529.30 = +$0.46 / $529.30 = +0.09%
• ●VIX: (15.02 − 15.01) / 15.01 = +0.01 / 15.01 = +0.07%

市场状态照抄各报价的 market_state 字段：五只个股一律 POST（来源：每条报价的 market_state_source，derived from currentTradingPeriod）；^VIX 为 REGULAR。五个股票数字是 10-07 已结算收盘价；VIX 那个是盘中活价快照，本次会话高点 16.01、低点 15.00（来自同一报价的 day_high/day_low）[T1: 已验证]。

下列数字全部来自本唤醒 stock_price(action='extremes', symbol=<SYM>, period='1mo') 的返回（五只全部成功）。窗口：2026-09-08..2026-10-07，各 22 根日线；basis："deterministic min/max computed in skill code over 22 1d bars"。

各标的成交量基线依据（volume_baseline_basis 原文）："arithmetic mean of 22 daily volume bars over 2026-09-08..2026-10-07"。比率列由每条 extremes 返回中的两个量重新计算（latest_volume / avg_volume，四舍五入两位）：

• ●NVDA: 77,579,926 / 107,746,364 = 0.72
• ●AMD: 17,929,829 / 22,285,946 = 0.80
• ●TSLA: 24,926,973 / 36,013,012 = 0.69
• ●AAPL: 31,250,163 / 40,964,107 = 0.76
• ●MSFT: 14,737,396 / 21,338,490 = 0.69

距期间高点的回撤（收盘价 vs 期间高点，亮出减法）：

• ●NVDA: ($243.37 − $237.47) / $243.37 = $5.90 / $243.37 = 2.42%
• ●AMD: ($658.52 − $645.86) / $658.52 = $12.66 / $658.52 = 1.92%
• ●TSLA: ($386.83 − $377.81) / $386.83 = $9.02 / $386.83 = 2.33%
• ●AAPL: ($345.34 − $336.67) / $345.34 = $8.67 / $345.34 = 2.51%
• ●MSFT: ($535.69 − $529.76) / $535.69 = $5.93 / $535.69 = 1.11%

结构注记（均与上表减法一致）：

• ●NVDA、AMD、TSLA 今日收盘低于昨日同样是窗口最高收盘的那根收盘价（$237.47 vs $239.24、$645.86 vs $649.42、$377.81 vs $380.68）—— 三只的窗口最高收盘仍是 10-06 的收盘价，且全部缩量（0.72x、0.80x、0.69x）。
• ●例外是 MSFT：今日收盘 $529.76 创出窗口新高（extremes highest_close 日期 2026-10-07），但成交量仅为均量的 0.69x，并仍低于 10-06 盘中高点 $535.69。
• ●AAPL 收盘低于其窗口最高收盘（$336.67 vs $341.07，09-25），亦低于期间高点 $345.34（09-22）。
• ●整个篮子最新成交量全部低于一个月均量（0.69–0.80x）—— 缩量回撤。

大势 — VIX

VIX 报 15.02（盘中活价）[T1: 已验证]，会话区间 15.00–16.01 [T1: 已验证] —— 盘中曾探到 16.01（该水位高于现价 15.02），最后基本持平（+0.07%），会话尚未收盘。VIX 那根 bar 未结算，"15.02" 是活价快照，不是收盘。

早间扫描引用的内部 desk 阈值「risk_off 带：VIX > 14.5」[T3: 沿自当日首份扫描，出处为该扫描内的 quant desk 配置，本唤醒未重新取证] 在 15.02（会话高点 16.01）下成立：大势带仍标 risk_off，而 MSFT 却在收盘创出期间最高收盘价。 股票走强 / VIX 溢价的背离仍是今日存续的异象。

辩论：debate_1791403438（output/debates/debate_1791403438.md，可读摘要；output/debates/debate_1791403438.json，逐字记录；归档时间戳 2026-10-07T13:05:32-0700）。

• ●议题： 收盘后图景（喂给辩论的原文）：NVDA 收盘 −0.74% 报 $237.47，低于前一日亦为窗口最高收盘的 $239.24；AMD −0.55% 报 $645.86（前收 $649.42）；TSLA −0.75% 报 $377.81（前收 $380.68）；AAPL +0.91% 报 $336.67，低于窗口最高收盘 $341.07；MSFT +0.09% 报 $529.76，创窗口新高；VIX 15.02 活价；篮子量能 0.69–0.80x。提案：(1) AMD 站不上 $650 就做空，(2) NVDA 回调至 $235 附近买入，(3) MSFT 动量持有。
• ●参与者： bull_researcher、bear_researcher、trader、risk_manager（4）—— 单一 backbone： 四份报告全部来自 ollama/kimi-k2.6:cloud（结构 κ_E = 1；辩论文件自带 single-root 警告）。0.845 的共识率是一个模型的四份草稿，不是四份独立观察。
• ●裁决：CONSENSUS (oppose) — 支持 1、反对 3；consensus_ratio 0.845（阈值 0.60，第 1 轮即早停）。

立场（出自落盘摘要）：

• ●bear_researcher（反对，置信 0.95）： 禁止在 NVDA、MSFT 新开多头。论点：缩量假突破。取消条件：NVDA 需连续 2 个交易日收盘站上 $239.24 且量 >1.0x 均量；AMD 需 1 个交易日收于 $640 下方确认派发完成；MSFT 需连续 2 日收于 $535 上方且量 >1.0x。它另给的备选：AMD 冲 $645 之上做空，止损 $650，目标 $620（风险 $5、报酬 $25 → 1:5.0，减法示出）。
• ●bull_researcher（支持，置信 0.5 —— 其票为 keyword_fallback 记录，非本人声明）： 否决 AMD 做空（−0.55% + 0.80x 量是弱获利了结而非派发）；批准 NVDA $235 附近买入（其报价距收盘 $2.47：$237.47 − $235.00 = $2.47 [T1 算术作用于辩论内部点位]）；否决 MSFT 动量。
• ●trader（反对）： 三案全停；其前提在本唤醒已核实，见阶段 3。
• ●risk_manager（反对，置信 0.82）： 对一切做空 AMD / 买入 NVDA 无条件否决；未来任何交易必须携带（a）精确入场价、（b）以 5 日 ATR 倍数表示的硬止损、（c）以股数与 $30,000 组合百分比表示的仓位、（d）R:R ≥ 1:1.5 的目标价（以减法计算并示出）。备选：既有 MSFT 多头可继续持有，除此之外现金零风险。

本唤醒已验证 [T1]，并对照辩论的前提条件：

1. ●议题中的量能声明（0.69–0.80x）：确认 —— 已从 extremes 载荷重算 [T1: 已验证]。trader 前提 (e) 满足。
2. ●VIX 15.02：报价确认 [T1: 已验证]。前提 (f) 满足。
3. ●AMD「须先出现已核实日内高点 >$650 的一次冲高失败才可做空」—— 未满足： AMD 10-07 日内高点 $648.48（报价 day_high，10-07 bar）[T1: 已验证]，低于 $650 达 $1.52。当日根本没冲够高度去测试 $650。
4. ●NVDA「须连续 2 个收盘价在 $235.15 之上」—— 算术上满足： 10-06 收盘 $239.24 与 10-07 收盘 $237.47 均高于 $235.15 [两收盘均 T1: 已验证]。但今日收盘同时低于 $239.24（bear 的假突破否定线）并低于前收 —— bear 所述的趋势形态完好。
5. ●AMD 收在 $640 下方（派发确认）：未满足 —— 10-07 收盘 $645.86 高出 $640 达 $5.86 [T1: 已验证]。
6. ●MSFT 收在 $535 上方：未满足 —— 10-07 收盘 $529.76 低于 $535 达 $5.24 [T1: 已验证]。且 10-07 日内高点 $531.73 同时低于 $535 与期间高点 $535.69 [T1: 已验证]。
7. ●NVDA 收上 $239.24（哪怕一天）：今日未满足 —— $237.47 距 $239.24 差 $1.77 [T1: 已验证]。

辩论内部数字，本唤醒未用工具复核 [T3: 模型估算 —— 出自辩论记录]： NVDA 5 日 ATR $4.05（risk_manager 引述）；AMD 10-06 成交量 24.2M（risk_manager 引述）；NVDA $235.15/$235「gamma 簇」与「$50B 回购底」（trader/bull 引述）；AMD「$635–$640 整理平台」（bull 引述）；MSFT「$532.35 天花板」（bull 引述 —— 该数与已核实的 10-06 日内高点 $531.73 不一致，与 bear 用的 $535 也不一致，两位使用者各执不同参照物）；历史类比（2021 NVDA 假突破 → 四周约 −30%；2020 TSLA → 约 −15%）—— 方向与 bear 论式一致，但百分比是未核实的记忆引述，本唤醒未抓任何网络来源佐证。

证据根警示： 四张票同一 backbone，这场辩论的作用只是检验内部一致性并产出 risk_manager 的规格标准；它无法、也没有为任何数字提供独立佐证。

今日无交易提案发出。 辩论共识为 oppose（0.845），risk_manager 否决权为无条件式，且三项提案无一达到其规格标准（入场 / 以 ATR 倍数计的止损 / 以股数与组合百分比计的仓位 / R:R ≥ 1:1.5 的目标）。唯一存续的动作是 risk_manager 的备选：既有 MSFT 多头可原样持有（无新增风险），其余现金不动。

备案：辩论中 trader 的执行窗口规则（仅 REGULAR 会话、06:30–12:30 PDT）本来就会拦下一切 —— 本扫描写在收盘之后（market_state: POST）。

否决 —— 不建新仓。 risk_manager 留下的清单，明日任何提案必须满足方可解禁：

1. ●精确入场价（美元）。
2. ●硬止损，且入场距止损以 5 日 ATR 的倍数表示。（注：本唤醒未核实任何 ATR；辩论中的 $4.05 是 [T3]。未来止损必须携带当轮经 stock_price 核实的 ATR。）
3. ●仓位：股数 + 占 $30,000 组合的百分比。
4. ●目标价，R:R ≥ 1:1.5，以减法算出并印出：例如 (入场 − 止损) 与 (目标 − 入场)。

截至 10-07 收盘的分项状态 [T1: 已验证]：

• ●做空 AMD：早于规格即被堵死 —— 日内高点 $648.48 从未触及 $650，trader 要求的触发条件不存在；AMD 距 10-06 期间高点 $658.52 尚有 $12.66，那是 bear 自设止损必须越过的地方。
• ●买入 NVDA：2 日收上 $235.15 的算术条件满足，但论式冲突未解：收盘 $237.47 低于前收与窗口最高收盘 $239.24，量仅 0.72x —— 正是 bear 称作派发、bull 称作整理的那种缩量。同一 backbone 底下的四张票解不开它，risk_manager 不在它上面交易。
• ●持有 MSFT：唯一存续动作，是持有不是建仓：收盘 $529.76 为窗口新高但量仅 0.69x，距盘中期间高点 $535.69 差 $5.93。
• ●VIX：15.02 活价（会话高点 16.01）。若尊重 desk 的 risk_off 带（VIX > 14.5，继承阈值 [T3]），多头命题均不合时令；「连续 2 日收盘低于 14.00」这道早间辩论闸门今日依然未达。

六项检查五面红旗：篮子在低于均量的量能（0.69–0.80x）中回撤，昨日四扇窗口高地今日被咬掉三口，MSFT 独创期间新高 —— 却用的是全篮子最薄的相对量能（0.69x）—— 而 VIX 盘中探至 16.01 后在 15.02 走平。派发还是回调，四张票（一个模型）分不出，风控因此不交易。今日无交易提案；MSFT 持有存续；此后一切提案必须带齐四件套，否则到站即死。

⚠️ 免责声明：本报告由 AI 模拟生成，仅供信息参考，不构成投资建议。过往模拟结果不预示未来表现。投资有风险，决策前请咨询持牌专业顾问。